[H152.Ebook] Ebook Unicorns Stained Glass Coloring Book (Dover Stained Glass Coloring Book), by Marty Noble

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With this little coloring book, children can enter the magical world of the unicorn. The enchanting mythical creature appears here in pastoral settings — reposing at a stream, prancing about near a turreted castle, silhouetted against a starry sky, and in other natural scenes.
Crayons, paints, or felt-tip pens will animate these eight bold designs of the gentle beast. Young artists simply color the pictures and then hang them near a source of bright light to produce a luminous glow.

• Sales Rank: #92432 in Books
• Brand: Dover
• Published on: 2000-05-19
• Released on: 2000-05-19
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 5.63" h x .7" w x 4.18" l, .3 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 8 pages

Features

• 8 Fun unicorn designs
• Pocket-sized coloring book
• Young children can enter the magical world of the unicorn
• Crayons paints or markers will bring these unicorns to life
• Hours of fun for all ages

From the Back Cover
With this little coloring book, children can enter the magical world of the unicorn. The enchanting mythical creature appears here in pastoral settings—reposing at a stream, prancing about near a turreted castle, silhouetted against a starry sky, and in other natural scenes.
Crayons, paints, or felt-tip pens will animate these eight bold designs of the gentle beast. Young artists simply color the pictures and then hang them near a source of bright light to produce a luminous glow.Original Dover (2000) publication.

Most helpful customer reviews

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Unicorns are said to be good luck...these are for me!
By HODGEPODGESPV
I knew that I was ordering a small sized book that was exactly what I wanted to color and give away to people I live with in the nursing home to enjoy in their offices or give to the joy of 5 year olds. I've done them with pencils and gel pens...I've even mixed the two mediums on some pages. It's great fun to see the enjoyment of something I've created.

Here's what I've discovered:

One rule on every page of every stained glass coloring book: Always put a blank piece of pager behind the one you are working on or my eyes crossed...remember, the areas you are working on are SEE THROUGH! Be nice to yourself and your eyes. Working this way also helps you see where you missed spots that you want to go over...all yellows especially!

Colored pencils (I use Arlana's Vivid Colors because they are the smoothest without any scratchy bits inbeded) work well if I were going to use them as package decorations or looking at them close up. On a window, they just don't pop the way I want. I realize many stained glass works are pale. Though I must say, parents of the 5 year olds who received them, just love them! I must admit, I really more enjoy bright intense colors! That's me. You might favor the softer more...it's all a matter of personal preference.

Gel pens (I use Gel Pens 60 Pack with Case...the ones incased in a case almost as long as I'm tall...under 5") because I like the glittery ones' effects on things like stars, all the different parts of the unicorn, water, sand...you know things that glisten naturally. The gel pens sometimes flow well which means I don't have to keep going over and over them to show up as much as I want. If you look at the cover of the book, you can see what I mean...I'd do the stars, moon, and unicorn with glitter pens; the 2 grass areas with one of the non-glittery greens. The grey bit could be more grass or a rock or a cloud; it's open for your interpretation. I did some area with colored pencils when I couldn't find the right gel pen to give me my right color. I do like the gel pens for some of the tiny fiddly bits.

OOPS! 'sorry, I forgot a WARNING! There is no way I could fill in the unicorn manes and tails and stay between the lines! DON'T PANIC if you have a similar problem! It will only show up close! On the window, the light only shows through the positive bits (the area you color)! You won't see it on the window! PROMISE!!

In the set I got, there were 2 glitter pens that looked like they would fit my mental outcome for the mane and tail. One was silver, the other almost looked like it might be a glittery black. On the velum, it comes out more a glittery grey that sits on the paper better (ethically for me) and looked great to me on all parts of the unicorn although I still like the yellow/gold one for the horn. The circles method gave the coats an interesting effect. The silver horrified me as it is so glaring up closeI Later used the grey glitter on the bodies in small overlapping circles that I liked up close and far away. The silver looked good only in the window. I never tried the silver on the body but may try it on one of the unicorns in new copy I've ordered. Flat white with pencil and gel pen just didn't do it for me. Again, play and see what you like. There are NO RULES IN COLORING...if there are, YOU ARE THE RULER!

Oh, lines vs circles...I've used both and enjoyed the effects as typically the glass used in real windows is often imperfect. In tiny areas I liked the overlapping little circles best as they seemed to cover the areas faster and better. Again, try it and see what you like.

I am reordering this book again because I'm ordering some water color pen/brushes to see if they work any better than the media I've tried so far. I ordered a colorless blender as I've heard them (different reviewers on Amazon) say blenders will work on colored pencils, pens, and water colors. I want to revisit the pictures to see if I can improve them. If I like them, I'll recall the earlier ones and replace them with the new. (Altho I don't think the little ones will give them up! They sound like they will just want more!) I like these little books because I can get quick gratification! as well as practice and "trial and error" with different colors and media. I think they've got ones that are letter paper size (and expensive). I want one but want to be most comfortable with all my media first. They will be more expensive.

If you've not figured it out by now, I do recommend these little books for us "older kids" to play with.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Love these and bought 2
By Samantha Cooper
Love these and bought 2, one for me and one for my mom because we are both addicted to coloring. These arrived and while I was a little shocked at the pocket size because I didn't pay attention at check out, I am happy with them and love coloring them. These pages are different than the average white paper coloring books and I find that using my felt tip markers work great on the pages while my mom loves using deep colored pencils on hers.

Versatile, great for vacations where you can't pack a lot and you could even toss these into a purse.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
cute and fun
By Lara Kettell
Even though we're both in our 30s, my sister loves unicorns and I love to color. I got this to color pages for my sister.
The many people who said it's too small or smaller than expected just didn't read the description or see the picture showing size, that it fits in your hand.

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[L413.Ebook] PDF Ebook The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day

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• Published on: 1600
• Binding: Paperback

Most helpful customer reviews

78 of 83 people found the following review helpful.
"It Can't Happen" Happens All the Time
By Rob Hardy
Years ago my wife was looking through the books at a Goodwill store, and for a gag gift for my birthday she bought me a volume of poems by Rod McKuen, whose work I do not like. Helen brought it home and was going to wrap it when she looked inside. There was a dedication in the book signed by the author himself: “To Rob - May you always sleep warm. --Rod McKuen.” Now I have a volume of McKuen’s poetry I cannot throw away, but more to the point, how is it possible that completely by chance that she should pick up such a book bearing a dedication to someone of the same name? It just does not seem that such a thing could happen. It’s the sort of story told many times in _The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day_ (Scientific American / Farrar, Straus and Giroux) by mathematician David Hand. Hand knows that it is tough to write about mathematics for the layman, perhaps even more so for probability which he says “is renowned for its counterintuitive nature, more than any other area of mathematics. Even the most eminent mathematicians have been tripped up by it.” Yet there are few equations here, there are many astounding stories, and many of Hand’s explanations are drawn from tossing a humble die.

The book starts with its main contradiction, only a seeming contradiction and one of many explained away within these pages: How is it possible that extremely unlikely things happen, and not only happen, but happen over and over? Hand gives satisfying answers, but besides being a book about extraordinarily improbable events, this is also a book that explains probability in general. Take the law of inevitability: Something has to happen. In a lottery, each possible ticket has so tiny a chance of winning that you might think it a miracle if yours is the one chosen. But what _is_ certain is that some ticket will be picked to win (or if not, the stakes will be raised for the next draw when there will be a winner). It is thus dead certain that an improbable event will occur. There’s the law of truly large numbers: if there are enough possible opportunities, any outrageously unlikely event can happen. If you toss a coin enough times, and have a near-eternity to do so, you will get a run of a hundred heads; it simply has to happen. These are understood strictly with probability theory, but we have also to supplement our “understanding” of rare events by human foibles. The law of selection, for instance, says that you can make probabilities as high as you like, in retrospect. It’s like shooting arrows into the side of a barn and then painting bullseyes around each one. All of us are liable, too, to confirmation bias; we notice events that reinforce what we wish to believe and we disregard data that does not fit. Prophets and astrologers harness this tendency all the time. And sometimes we use bad equipment for our research. Federal law has specific and strict rules for every die thrown in a casino, but dice you get in a Monopoly set are far from such strict engineering and they have bias; research into psychokinesis, the ability to control die tosses, has been criticized because it used ordinary dice.

Readers of Hand’s book will have a happy tour of many aspects of probability, delivered by a guide who is knowledgeable and funny. Even if some of the math gets by you, the astonishing stories are sure to impress you, like the ones about people who have won the lottery more than once. Spare a little sympathy, however, for Maureen Wilcox, who in 1980 bought lottery tickets in both the states of Massachusetts and Rhode Island. She picked all the right numbers, too. Except the numbers she picked for Rhode Island won in Massachusetts, and vice versa.

28 of 29 people found the following review helpful.
Dull as it gets
By Skeptical by nature
I've read a lot of books on statistics, both texts for work and more casual books for entertainment value. This is among the worst that I have read.

The examples are dull, recycled, and mostly uninteresting. The concepts seem too basic for the length of the book. And in the end it just is not interesting. Pass on this one.

When I read one star reviews, I often wish the reviewers would tell me what they did enjoy, so that I could calibrate their review and, potentially, so that I could find something better. So here I'll do that. Here are two books of similar nature, both of which are far better than The Improbability Principle:
1, The Drunkard's Walk, by Leonard Mlodinow
2, Fooled by Randomness, by Nassim Taleb

24 of 26 people found the following review helpful.
Perception versus Reality: An Excellent Overview
By George Poirier
This is a book on statistics but without the mathematical details. The author explains the occurrence of events that one would expect to be extremely rare but, do in fact occur more frequently that anticipated. The author’s “improbably principle”, which is at the heart of this book, is composed of several strands: the law of inevitability, the law of truly large numbers, the law of selection, the law of the probability lever and the law of near enough. These laws are each carefully explained by the author and several useful examples are presented to illustrate each one.

No formulas are used in this book. To be honest, I found that a bit disappointing being an avid mathematics enthusiast. However, it seems clear that the author’s objective is to drive his point home in the simplest and most widely accessible way possible. And in this he succeeds admirably.

The author, a professor of mathematics with specialization in statistics, writes very clearly in a friendly, engaging and often lively style. Because if its wide accessibility, I believe that this book can be enjoyed by any interested readers, no matter what their background. Science and mathematics enthusiasts, like me, although possibly disappointed by the lack of mathematical minutiae, should still be in for a treat. I enjoyed this book immensely.

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[L647.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Under Siege, by Janice Greene

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FOR USE IN SCHOOLS AND LIBRARIES ONLY. Two teens are trapped by a strange old man in a mysterious, half-ruined amusement park and must confront the history of his son's failed baseball career.

• Sales Rank: #8092223 in Books
• Published on: 2002-02
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 7.75" h x 5.25" w x .50" l,
• Binding: Turtleback

About the Author
Saddleback Educational Publishing has been the leading source of solutions for struggling learners in middle school and high school for over 29 years. Saddleback publishes Award-Winning Urban Fiction, well-known Illustrated Classics, Adapted Classics, supplemental alternative curriculum as well as the largest assortment of hi-lo (high-interest, low-readability) books. Saddleback believes that by engaging the reader with age-appropriate covers and content, even the most at-risk and struggling learner can achieve success.

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Pulp Education, Bk. 3
By FredTownWard
Saddleback Educational Publishing has come up with a brilliant concept for solving a very serious problem: the great decline in reading among today's students. Their solution? Make assigned reading materials exciting! Their Pageturners books are short novels, designed to entice even the least motivated students into reading.

This confronts both of the major problems with more traditional readers: if they are not mind-numbingly dull, they are excruciatingly didactic, cramming some important "teachings" whether moral, religious, or (these days) politically correct down the throats of children so hard as to turn them off of reading for good.

The former fat girl, now gorgeous actress, from Rollie Torres' high school days walks in the door of the detective agency he now works for, begging for protection from a mysterious stalker, and the "surprise twist ending" will be obvious to most readers from the very first chapter. If Rollie is THIS easily fooled perhaps he should reconsider a career in law enforcement! Hard to believe that the same author wrote the MUCH better The Case of the Bad Seed.

Still, for what they are intended to be, reading textbooks, they are wonderful. The fact that students who learn to read better and to love reading from these books may soon find them skimpy fare for pleasure reading is not entirely bad, assuming their teachers quickly move them on to bigger and better things in the school library or the bookstore if necessary.

Other detective fiction Pageturners: The Case of the Bad Seed (Pageturners), The Case of the Cursed Chalet (Pageturners), The Case of the Dead Duck (Pageturners), and The Case of the Watery Grave (Pageturners).

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Terrible Orchid Sky
By A Customer
The story was so descriptive, I was able to picture the characters and scenes. This book gave me a lot to think about, like what kids of divorce might be going through, and about kids that have a tough time in school and how they feel. I liked this book.

2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Pulp Education, Bk. 1
By FredTownWard
"You don't need a weapon," the creature insisted. "You should know that violence solves nothing."

"Oh, spare me!" Joe objected. "Violence solves quite a lot of things as your need to be rescued violently by us proves! It is rather that violence is not necessarily the BEST way to solve things when there is a peaceful alternative available!"

"Yes, I see your point," the creature admitted.

OK, I made up that last part, but I wish Joe HAD given such a response to this, mercifully, the sole example of PC idiocy in this book.

Saddleback Educational Publishing has come up with a brilliant concept for solving a very serious problem: the great decline in reading among today's students. Their solution? Make assigned reading materials exciting! Their Pageturners books are short novels, designed to entice even the least motivated students into reading.

This confronts both of the major problems with more traditional readers: if they are not mind-numbingly dull, they are excruciatingly didactic, cramming some important "teachings" whether moral, religious, or (these days) politically correct down the throats of children so hard as to turn them off of reading for good.

Joe Stebbins wants no part of Holly Atchison. He had his fill of nosy, dishonest reporters three years ago when he first told his story of being kidnapped by aliens, but Holly has a trump card. Her mother claims to have been kidnapped the very same night from the very same place! An SF story with lots of thrills and lots of twists before the end!

Plus, for what they are intended to be, reading textbooks, they are wonderful. The fact that students who learn to read better and to love reading from these books may soon find them skimpy fare for pleasure reading is not entirely bad, assuming their teachers quickly move them on to bigger and better things in the school library or the bookstore if necessary.

Other science fiction Pageturners: Bugged! (Pageturners), Escape from Earth (Pageturners), Murray's Nightmare (Pageturners), and Under Siege (Pageturners).

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[M253.Ebook] Free PDF Humanitarian Intervention and the United Nations, by Norrie MacQueen

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Humanitarian Intervention and the United Nations, by Norrie MacQueen

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Explores the UN's track record of military action, from cold war 'brushfire' peacekeeping to the fractured globalisation of the contemporary worldMacQueen assesses armed humanitarian intervention on a region-by-region basis, from the Balkans to Africa, the Middle East to Southeast Asia. Using empirical evidence, he compiles a 'balance sheet' of the UN's successes and failures and asks hard questions about humanitarian intervention's short and long-term value.* Presents a concise analytical overview of the theoretical, moral and practical issues* Case study chapters on sub-Saharan Africa, the Balkans and East Timor* Confronts hard questions about the short and long-term value of these interventions

• Sales Rank: #1932230 in Books
• Brand: Brand: Edinburgh University Press
• Published on: 2011-03-24
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 6.10" h x .60" w x 9.10" l, .86 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 256 pages

Features

• Used Book in Good Condition

Review

[ Humanitarian Intervention and the United Nations] fill[s] a crucial gap in providing a straightforward, detailed analysis of the relationship between the UN and intervention. More than this, it makes a valid contribution to the critical analysis of the present world system that has dominated intervention research in the last twenty years and provides a fundamental insight into the limitations of the current legal and political infrastructure surrounding intervention.

(David Williams H-Genocide)

About the Author

Norrie MacQueen is Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Dundee

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent
By Hannah S
Amazing book that presents a concise and interesting argument, approaching humanitarian intervention as "all interventions by armed forces either under the command of or formally legitimized by the UN are by definition humanitarian intervention". A must read for those interested in humanitarian intervention, the role of the UN, peacekeeping, IR theory, and Westphalian/post-Westphalian comparisons.

0 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Jeff Ratcliffe
Excellent.

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[U450.Ebook] PDF Download Dirty Rotten Strategies: How We Trick Ourselves and Others into Solving the Wrong Problems Precisely (High Reliability and Crisis Managemen

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People and organizations are perfectly capable of making the most outrageous missteps. But, how does a person, organization, or society know that it is committing an error? And, how can we tell that when others are steering us down wrong paths?

Dirty Rotten Strategies delves into how organizations and interest groups lure us into solving the "wrong problems" with intricate, but inaccurate, solutions. Authors Ian I. Mitroff and Abraham Silvers argue that we can never be sure if we have set our sights on the wrong problem, but there are definite signals that can alert us to this possibility.

While explaining how to detect and avoid dirty rotten strategies, the authors put the media, healthcare, national security, academia, and organized religion under the microscope. They offer a biting critique that examines the failure of these major institutions to accurately define our most pressing problems. For example, the U.S. healthcare industry strives to be the most technologically advanced in the world, but, our cutting-edge system does not ensure top-quality care to the largest number of people.

Readers will find that far too many institutions have enormous incentives to let us devise elaborate solutions to the wrong problems. As Thomas Pynchon said," If they can get you asking the wrong questions, then they don't have to worry about the answers."

From a political perspective, this book shows why liberals and conservatives define problems differently, and demonstrates how each political view is incomplete without the other. Our concerns are no longer solely liberal or conservative. In fact, we can no longer trust a single group to define issues across the institutions explored in this book and beyond.

Dirty Rotten Strategies is a bipartisan call for anyone who is ready to think outside the box to address our major concerns as a society—starting today.

• Sales Rank: #1052519 in Books
• Brand: Brand: Stanford Business Books
• Published on: 2009-10-21
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x .80" w x 6.00" l, 1.03 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 232 pages

Features

• Used Book in Good Condition

From Publishers Weekly
Starred Review. A pleasant surprise for anyone frustrated with the way complex problems are misconstrued and dumbed-down in daily life, this challenge from business scholars Mitroff and Silvers goes out to media, higher education, health care, and American institutions ranging from government to celebrity, to demonstrate the relevance of concepts in statistical analysis known as "type three" and "type four" errors. Though they're given to philosophical ranting, the authors never struggle with their complex ideas, keeping the text readable for anyone with problems to solve, resolve, absolve or dissolve (i.e., everyone). Those familiar with statistics will find their frustrations with the false type-one/type-two error dichotomy well articulated and addressed, but the theories will connect with anyone who enjoys thinking outside the box. The pair also advocates a new way of considering problems, not just a way of prioritizing them, demonstrating the necessity of new modes of critical thinking when approaching the orthodoxy of American institutions.

Review
"Ian Mitroff has done it again; He and Abraham Silvers have opened our eyes. Here's a lucid and thoughtful account of why we fail to be adequately lucid and thoughtful—and what we can do about it. Bravo!"
—Robert B. Reich, Professor of Public Policy, University of California at Berkeley, former U.S. Secretary of Labor, and author of Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Deomcracy, and Everyday Life

"A bracingly powerful book, which should be required reading for all professionals and experts of every stripe. It will liberate all readers from the tyranny of conventional reasoning. The authors give new meaning to Veblen's classic phrase, "trained incompetence." —-Warren Bennis, University Professor, University of Southern California and co-author of Transparency and Judgment

"Dirty Rotten Strategies is insightful, provocative, and important." —-Karen Armstrong, Best-selling author of The Spiral Staircase

"Ian Mitroff and Abraham Silvers nail one of the most pressing challenges of our time. In a deeper way, they show how we can get so distracted by our assessment of a problem that—no matter how well-executed the solution—it can be a complete waste of time, often making the problem much worse! The "War on Drugs" comes to mind as an example[]This book is a wake-up call for problem solvers."
—John Renesch, futurist and author of Getting to the Better Future: A Matter of Conscious Choosing


"Mitroff and Silvers suggest that our current challenges are 'wicked problems' that can only be managed by mixing conventional and highly unconventional ways of looking at the world. Incisive and original, Dirty Rotten Strategies demonstrates just how valuable systematic thinking can be in helping America to clean up all of its 'messes.'" —Morley Winograd, Executive Director of the Institute for Communication Technology Management, USC Marshall School of Business and co-author of Millennial Makeover
"Ian Mitroff and Abraham Silvers have written one of the definitive books on the tragedy of well-considered, well-meaning and well-researched error. The great merit of their non-technical, powerful book is the clarity with which they demonstrate that many of the most disastrous decisions are made by brilliantly solving wrongly defined problems. Using a prodigious range of examples from politics, health care, organizational disasters, and national security, they show how cognitive and emotional factors conspire to produce what they term the 'Type Four Error,' in which we mislead not only ourselves but others to act and think in ways directly opposed to generally agreed objectives and values. The book's main contribution is to train us to question the ways we define problems, and to help us avoid some of the errors that we all too easily lapse into. It will be of great value to all those who are perplexed by human ability to repeat mistakes in any field of action and thought."
—Yiannis Gabriel, The School of Management, Royal Holloway University of London, author of Organizing Words: A Critical Thesaurus for Social and Organization Studies

About the Author
Ian I. Mitroff is an Emeritus Professor from the University of Southern California, where he taught for 26 years. He is currently the President of Comprehensive Crisis Management, a consulting firm which offers an integrated approach to Crisis Management. Mitroff is also the author of several well-received books, including Crisis Leadership (2003) and Why Some Companies Emerge Stronger and Better From a Crisis (2005). Abraham Silvers was Associate Professor of Statistics at Baylor College of Medicine and Adjunct Professor of Statistics at the University of California at San Francisco Medical School. Having written over 100 papers and book chapters, Silvers was elected a Fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA) in 1988 for his contributions to clinical trial methodology. In 1993 he received the distinguished medal in environmental statistics from the ASA. He currently provides environmental statistical consulting and support in the design, database management and analysis of health studies and clinical trials.

Most helpful customer reviews

11 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Project managers need to read this book.
By Lon Roberts - Author "SPC for Right-Brain Thinkers"
Regardless of your political leanings, this is a must-read book for anyone who cares about clear-headed thinking and the ploys that are used to trick us into solving the wrong problems. When "solving the wrong problem" is done unintentionally, the authors refer to this as a Type III error; when it is intentional, they refer to this as a Type IV error.

In essence the book is about qualitative analysis involving high-stakes situations, though the authors don't refer to it as such. It speaks to the logic that is involved (or should be involved) in properly framing and characterizing complex societal problems ... long before the statistician starts crunching numbers. I highly recommend the book to policy makers, decision makers, aspiring statisticians, or anyone, for that matter, who wants to recognize when and how they are being manipulated by politicians, the media, advertisers, think tanks, SIGs, etc. Also, as one who instructs and consults project managers, I believe PMs would benefit from recognizing that many of the requirements-related problems they encounter are essentially Type III errors.

But make no mistake, the authors go after some sacred cows: politics (especially right-of-center politics), the health insurance industry, religion, science, and education. So, you may need to check your sensitivities at the door if you wish to read the book with an open mind.

12 of 15 people found the following review helpful.
Two Books and One is Terrific
By Laurence J. Stybel
These are two powerhouse authors: Mitroff is one of the great figures of 20th Century organization behavior. He is Visiting Professor at the University of California at Berkeley. Abraham Silvers was Associate Professor of Statistics at the Baylor College of Medicine and now provides environmental statistical consulting services.
An interdisciplinary perspective pervades in this book.
If you purchase this book, be aware you are really buying two books. And the title gives away the problem as you will see in this review.
One book is superb.
The superb book is called HOW WE TRICK OURSELVES AND OTHERS INTO SOLVING THE WRONG PROBLEMS PRECISELY. The authors make the case that statistics only looks at Type 1 and Type 2 Errors. Type 1 Errors mean that the decision makers conclude that there is a meaningful difference when there is not. In other words, affirmatively getting the wrong answer. Type 2 Errors mean that decision makers conclude there is not a meaningful difference when there is. In other words, a failure to get it right.
Any leader will have at least an hour worth of Type 1 and Type 2 horror stories. We have all been victims. And we have all been perpetuators.
The authors then introduce a Type 3 Error: precisely solving the wrong problem.
This is a helpful perspective and a valuable one for Boards when they review strategy submitted by the CEO. Instead of asking, "Will it work?"Why not start with "are we looking at the right problem in the first place?"
Because Type 3 errors are part of the human condition, organizations can set up checks and balances to deal with it. For example, at the Board Level, meaningful Board of Director Self Evaluation does help the Board be aware of when its own group dynamics might cause it to logically and correctly solve the wrong problem.
We are all imperfect creatures and are prone to Type 3 Errors.
Ah, but then there is that second book.
It begins with the discussion of Type Four Errors: deliberate manipulation of data to cause leaders to solve the wrong problem precisely. They say it is due to "self-righteousness, overzealousness, malice, and narrow ideology." In other words, dirty rotten scoundrels contribute to DIRTY ROTTEN STRATEGIES.
This second book clearly is driven by the authors' own ideology and lack of historical perspective. They are out of their league. There is nothing new in Type 4 errors except the commonsense notion that people do manipulate information to suit their advantage. Is that news?
This second book has vitriol but lacks depth or practical solutions.
I want to emphasize that the first book is admirable. Too bad you can't buy one without getting the other.

##

Larry Stybel.
Boardoptions.com

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
mediocre analysis fascinating topic
By mikemac9
This book addresses a fascinating topic of how it is, both as individuals and societies, that we go off solving the wrong problem or solving problems incorrectly. It is clear from the broad range of examples they give that they have put considerable effort into studying the issue and reaching their conclusions.

However reading thru it I found the writing stiff and tedious. Moreover they seem to take polemic stands that seem unwarranted. I stopped reading the book when I got to the following: "The inside of shopping malls is so carefully controlled and staged that it looks and feels like outside, and such outside places as theme parks, for example, look and feel like inside. As a result the concepts 'outside' and 'inside' don't mean anything anymore." At which point I decided I had better uses for my time...

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